Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

Archive for July 2010

Alas, 2014

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The World Cup is over and I was able to watch only a few minutes of the final (though I did see the goal). Spain’s win salvaged my showing in the ESPN bracket to a still-disappointing 6th place, while in the McDonald’s Cup I managed a heartbreaking second in both regular and tournament modes. I will be sad forever. See you in 2014.

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July 11, 2010 at 6:43 pm

Alas Poor Holland?

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World Cup Daily has me second-guessing my endorsement of the psychic octopus. Maybe Holland will pull it off. I really don’t know.

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July 11, 2010 at 8:25 am

Facts Are Stupid Things

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Our brains don’t work, politics edition.

On its own, this might not be a problem: People ignorant of the facts could simply choose not to vote. But instead, it appears that misinformed people often have some of the strongest political opinions. A striking recent example was a study done in the year 2000, led by James Kuklinski of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He led an influential experiment in which more than 1,000 Illinois residents were asked questions about welfare — the percentage of the federal budget spent on welfare, the number of people enrolled in the program, the percentage of enrollees who are black, and the average payout. More than half indicated that they were confident that their answers were correct — but in fact only 3 percent of the people got more than half of the questions right. Perhaps more disturbingly, the ones who were the most confident they were right were by and large the ones who knew the least about the topic. (Most of these participants expressed views that suggested a strong antiwelfare bias.)

Studies by other researchers have observed similar phenomena when addressing education, health care reform, immigration, affirmative action, gun control, and other issues that tend to attract strong partisan opinion. Kuklinski calls this sort of response the “I know I’m right” syndrome, and considers it a “potentially formidable problem” in a democratic system. “It implies not only that most people will resist correcting their factual beliefs,” he wrote, “but also that the very people who most need to correct them will be least likely to do so.”

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July 11, 2010 at 7:09 am

Things I Missed While I Was Busy

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July 10, 2010 at 6:36 pm

Weather Predictions

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Welcome to Ireland in July:

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July 10, 2010 at 2:37 pm

Last-Minute World-Cup 3rd-Place Guess

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Germany over Uruguay by a lot.

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July 10, 2010 at 2:23 pm

Alas, Poor Holland

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The psychic octopus has picked Spain. I picked Spain to win it all way back in the ESPN pool, and I suppose I’m sticking with that after watching them dispatch Germany—though I’ll be rooting for Orange.

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July 9, 2010 at 9:48 am

But I Haven’t Left Yet

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* Lebron has hurt everyone, but especially the weak heart of my beloved Cleveland. Nate Silver tries to put a number on the damage he’s done to his reputation playing Hamlet.

* A federal judge has unexpectedly struck down the parts of the Defense of Marriage Act that define marriage as being between a man and a woman. There’s more at MeFi, including a link to a post from Jack Balkin that suggests this could actually be a kind of right-wing Trojan Horse designed to undermine the juridical basis for New Deal government.

* Worst lemon-to-lemonade analogy ever.

* Science proves I was right all along when I said my high school started too early in the morning.

* Žižek blogs about BP. You know what’s coming.

The lesson is simply that, while market mechanisms may work up to a certain level to contain ecological damage, serious large-scale ecological catastrophies are simply out of their reach – any pseudo-scientific statistic talk about “sustainable risks” is ridiculous here. More than two decades ago, a paparazzo caught Senator Ted Kennedy (well known for his opposition to the off-shore drilling in search of oil) in the midst of the sexual act on a lone boat off Louisiana shore; during a Senate debate a couple of days later, a Republican Senator dryly remarked: “It seems that Senator Kennedy now changed his position on off-shore drilling…” So maybe, we should return to Senator Kennedy’s position: the only acceptable off-shore drilling is the one he was engaged in.

More Žižek here.

* Of all sad words of mouth or pen, The saddest are these: “It might have been”: 55% Of Likely Voters Think Obama’s A Socialist.

Light Blogging

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Blogging will be even lighter while we travel a bit in Europe. Things should be back up to full strength in late August / early September…

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July 9, 2010 at 7:12 am

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Polygraph 24: Call for Papers

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Polygraph 24—Call for Papers
Special Issue: Resistance to Finance

http://www.duke.edu/web/polygraph/cfp24.html

What does financial capitalism demand of us in thought and in action today?

Financial capital is one of the fundamental structuring forces in our world. Evidence of this is ubiquitous: the severity and extent of the most recent global financial crisis, the collapse of whole national economies (as in Greece and Iceland), the steadily progressing securitization of pensions and savings, a growing volume of derivatives trading that already dwarfs “real” global GDP.

Yet many critical accounts of corporate globalization, free trade, neoliberalism, and so on all too rarely emphasize the fact that high finance constitutes the very condition of possibility of capitalism as we know it. Other available forms of economic critique, from world-systems theory to dependency theory to theories of Empire, often do grant high finance the central role that it in reality occupies, but rarely go beyond critique to directly address the question of resistance. Too often, critique remains mired in highlighting isolated acts and agents of malfeasance rather than producing totalizing, systemic claims with real leverage. We now know this state of affairs to be in need of immediate rectification.

We also know that action is demanded, but its contours are not yet well defined. The clout of finance capital has received ample attention in Marxist economics, neo-classical economics, and other quarters—yet the accounts produced thus far of what is to be done have been less than satisfactory. What political responses on the part of on-the-ground social movements and both current and potential bodies of governance are necessary? Are some already underway but obscured from view? What alternative economic futures can we begin to construct out of the wreckage of the most recent crisis and the structural shifts that produced and accompany it? Is it necessary to break the global economy of its speculative bent and return it to its “real” roots, or is this antithesis, stemming from Hilferding’s classic critique of “fictitious capital,” fundamentally ill-conceived? Should the focus of political action be shifted away from past struggles—against multinational corporations, free trade, and the powerful political allies of both—in the direction of the financial crux of the global economy? What would such a change in focus entail?

Potential topics:
Financial capitalism and Marxism
* The continued efficacy or potential obsolescence of previous critical outlooks (world systems theory, Empire theory, etc.) in confronting global finance
* The centrality of the question of global finance in any meaningful critical engagement with globalization
* Systemic global inequality, post-Fordism and crisis

Resistance
* Forms of political subjectivity capable of comprehending and acting within (and against) high finance as it stands
* What is the role of the state in confronting financial capital?
* Real and hypothetical political movements and direct action
* Strategies of flight and subtractive action, whether individual (e.g. walking away from mortgage contracts) or institutional (e.g. Argentina’s post-crisis debt restructuring)

Alternative financial institutions and orders
* Jacques Sapir’s recent call for a “new Bretton Woods” system (akin to Antonio Negri’s call for a “new New Deal”)
* Microfinance and financial decentralization
* The global Tobin tax on of financial transactions and other forms of regulation
* Neo-Luddism and the return to the “real” economy
* Radical political economy and the pursuit of anti-capitalist alternatives

Other
* Historical perspectives on high finance, dealing with periodization, secular trends, particular crises and institutions, and exemplary modes of resistance
* Mystification, abstraction and the “new” digital/virtual economy
* Epistemological barriers to adequate critique of the global financial system
* Perception and belief as primary structural forces in the financial system
* Artistic representations of the financial world as possible critical tools
* Socio-political underpinnings of the financialization of the world

Deadline for submissions: January 31, 2011
Email complete manuscripts to the issue editor at lucas.perkins@duke.edu.

Two Days Left Links

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Busy Summer Links

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* Do kids make you unhappy? Science says yes. But parenting’s not so bad in social democracies with a proper safety net. Reserve your freezer space now.

* In the 77 days since oil from the ruptured Deepwater Horizon began to gush into the Gulf of Mexico, BP has skimmed or burned about 60 percent of the amount it promised regulators it could remove in a single day. Steve Benen does the math: “If my math is right*, that means BP’s skimming and removal efforts are operating at less than 0.2% of the promised capacity. The oil giant only exaggerated its abilities by a factor of 500.”

* Why democracy doesn’t work: incumbents get a bump when the local college football team wins.

* Daily Kos still hasn’t given up hope for Democratic Senate gains in November.

* When I grow up, I want to go to Glenn Beck University.

* And Glenn Greenwald wants to repeal Godwin’s Law.

Just a Few

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Sunday Night

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* Game of the night: Entanglement.

* The Declaration of Independence, in American.

When things get so balled up that the people of a country got to cut loose from some other country, and go it on their own hook, without asking no permission from nobody, excepting maybe God Almighty, then they ought to let everybody know why they done it, so that everybody can see they are not trying to put nothing over on nobody.

* “Reconciliation” has become a darling of political theorists, journalists, and human-rights activists, especially as it pertains to the rebuilding of postwar and post-genocidal nations. Nowhere is this more so than in the case of Rwanda. Numerous books and articles on the topic—some, though not all, inspired by Christian teachings—pour forth. It can plausibly be argued, of course, that in Rwanda—and in other places, like Sierra Leone and the Balkans, where victims and perpetrators must live more or less together—reconciliation is a political necessity. Reconciliation has a moral resonance, too; certainly it is far better than endless, corpse-strewn cycles of revanchism and revenge. Yet there is sometimes a disturbing glibness when outsiders tout the wonders of reconciliation, as if they are leading the barbarians from darkness into light. Even worse, the phenomenological realities—the human truths—of the victims’ experiences are often ignored or, at best, treated as pathologies that should be “worked through” until the promised land of forgiveness is reached. This is not just a mistake but a dangerous one; for it is doubtful that any sustainable peace, and any sustainable politics, can be built without a better, which is to say a tragic, understanding of those truths.

* And how we nuked ourselves, 1945-1998.

Tough Out There For Predictors

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Is it too late to pick Germany to win it all? Carumba. I think in the chaos of travel I forgot to predict a Spain win, so here goes that. 3-0.

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July 3, 2010 at 11:49 am