Posts Tagged ‘turnout’
Rage, Rage against the Dying of the Links
* Some of my own stuff from the weekend: Making America Great Again with Octavia Butler and the formal, official, can’t-take-it-back-now release of Octavia E. Butler in Kindle, hardback, and paperback. CFP: Buffy at 20. Jaimee’s election poem at the New Verse News: “Donald Trump, Kate McKinnon, Leonard Cohen.”
* CFP: Capital at 150. CFP: Marxist Reading Group: Genre and the Crisis of Narrative.
* Jerome Winter on the new space opera.
* Other books I’d rather be reading: In a Galaxy 90 Miles Away: The View from Cuban Science Fiction. No Mind To Lose: On Brainwashing.
* How I Wrote Arrival (and What I Learned Doing It). A Ted Chiang profile in The Guardian.
* A history of Chinese science fiction. An Islam and Sci-Fi Interview with Kim Stanley Robinson.
The margin was so small that everybody’s ego-preserving rationalization can look like the determinative factor. Hard outcome to learn from.
— Gerry Canavan (@gerrycanavan) November 12, 2016
* Shirtless Trump Saves Drowning Kitten. The Trump Meltdown Begins. There is no way to predict where this is heading. (Okay, maybe we can predict a little bit.) How Trump Won. The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election. It probably wasn’t voter suppression (except maybe in Wisconsin). We have 100 days to stop Donald Trump from systemically corrupting our institutions. Yeah, good luck. It Can’t Happen Here in 2016. The Plot Against America in 2016. Sixteen Writers on Trump’s America. Preparing for the Worst: How Conservatives Will Govern in 2017. Trump takes to Twitter to blast ‘hater, loser’ children; vows retribution. Where the Democrats Go From Here. How to Build an Exit Ramp for Trump Supporters. Amazing what a week can do. Blue Feed, Red Feed. Abolish the Electoral College. Post-Election College Grading Rubric. Google Emoluments Truth. The nine liberals you meet in hell.
* He might as well try: Obama Can and Should Put Merrick Garland on the Supreme Court.
* Hillary Clinton’s Vaunted GOTV Operation May Have Turned Out Trump Voters. The Democrats’ Real Turnout Problem. Clinton Aides Blame Loss on Everything but Themselves. Comey! The Clinton Campaign Was Undone By Its Own Neglect And A Touch Of Arrogance, Staffers Say. Epic. This didn’t have to happen. They Always Wanted Trump: Inside Team Clinton’s year-long struggle to find a strategy against the opponent they were most eager to face. Twilight of the Messageless Candidate. Blame the Clintons. Obama after Obama. Whatever happened: The whole Democratic Party is now a smoking pile of rubble. 2009: The Year the Democratic Party Died. The decimation of the Democratic Party, visualized. Does the Democratic Party Have a Future? Well, have you met the Democrats? The Worst Possible Leader at the Worst Possible Time. These are the key governors’ races the Democrats will blow in 2018. Blueprint for a New Party.
Harder even than disentangling from election season cult of personality will be re-processing Obama era as failure rather than triumph. https://t.co/eZBYqYIRs3
— Gerry Canavan (@gerrycanavan) November 15, 2016
*RECORD SCRATCH*
*FREEZE FRAME*
"Yup. That's me. I bet you're wondering how I ended up in this situation." pic.twitter.com/lrjaR82U2B
— Comfortably Smug (@ComfortablySmug) November 10, 2016
But my core principle here is that any conclusion Dems draw that isn’t about their own bad choices is destructive.
— Gerry Canavan (@gerrycanavan) November 13, 2016
* From the archives: Umberto Eco on Ur-Fascism.
* Historians under Hitler. When Hitler Pivoted. Autocracy: Rules for Survival. What Is The “Alt-Right”? A Guide To The White Nationalist Movement Now Leading Conservative Media. Prepare For Regime Change, Not Policy Change.
Obama walking through the ruins of democracy feels a bit on-the-nose at the moment. pic.twitter.com/x7DiL5sFCy
— Brendan Sasso (@BrendanSasso) November 17, 2016
* Why FiveThirtyEight Gave Trump A Better Chance Than Almost Anyone Else. More from Nate’s Twitter. And from another angle entirely: Things look an awful lot like they would if we decided elections by coin flip.
* So many more examples could be given, but it’s getting late, and one general takeaway from the 2016 Election seems clear: our popular media, from those producing it to those sorting it with editors and algorithms, are not up to the task of informing us and describing reality. This won’t happen, but those people who got Trump sooo consistently wrong from the primaries to Election Day should not have the job of informing us anymore. And if you were surprised last night, you might want to reconsider how you get information.
* The New Inquiry has been all over the Trump Resistance. Waking up in Trump’s America. Lose Your Kin. Against Extinction. Fuck. The Gamble. And the struggle goes on: “Thanksgiving is the festival of white reconciliation.”
Sabotage worked, and case for Trump illegitimacy is far stronger than against Obama. Build left-liberal consensus for maximum refusal now. https://t.co/N70tM7i8a3
— Gerry Canavan (@gerrycanavan) November 13, 2016
* No President. What a proper response to Trump’s fascism demands: a true ideological left.
* Do any laws bind electors to vote along with their state? Not really. But this cuts both ways, and basically ruins any sort of “hack the Electoral College scheme” from the jump too. Meanwhile, let’s hack the Electoral College, because what could possibly go wrong.
* Truly, only the superrich can save us now.
* Beginning to look a lot like Christmasttime: UPS strike. O’Hare strike.
* Rise of the Sanctuary Campus.
* And yet, to my knowledge, no one has explained clearly enough that globalization is over, and that we urgently need to reestablish ourselves on an Earth that has nothing to do with the protective borders of nation-states any more than the infinite horizon of globalization.
* Being Productive in Scholarly Publishing: Advice from Jason Brennan. No one said you’d like it.
* A GoFundMe for SEK’s medical bills. I only wish the prognosis were better.
* The New Intellectuals: Is the academic jobs crisis a boon to public culture?
* Title IX is effectively finished, at least in its current form. More here. “College” as a concept may not be all that far behind.
* On toxifying, rather than repealing, the ACA.
* Trump Will Have Access To Personal Info Of “Dreamers” For Deportation Efforts. This precise possibility, of course, was raised as an objection to Obama’s action at the time.
* Democrats, 2016, preserving the state, and the man of lawlessness.
please calm down. we are a nation of laws and like it or not the sentinel program is law now. pic.twitter.com/WY7b3122J1
— Saladin Ahmed (@saladinahmed) November 14, 2016
* After a tweet blaming this all on Bill Clinton, Steve Shaviro provided a time-travel novel to soothe my pain: The X-President.
* The coming Democratic defeat on infrastructure.
* What Women Used Before They Could Use the Law.
* I want things to be different.
* This world is so messed up. Let’s go do something good.
* How to Reverse Engineer Smells.
* The Official November 2016 Guide for Making People Feel Old.
* The 100-Year-Old Man Who Lives in the Future.
* Fact-checking doesn’t ‘backfire,’ new study suggests. Calling people racist might, though.
* Harry Potter and the Conscience of a Liberal.
* What if X-Men were a Gothic novel?
* Calexit.
* The economists are leveraging their academic prestige with secret reports justifying corporate concentration. Their predictions are often wrong and consumers pay the price.
* Huge, if true: Report finds many graduate students are stressed about finances.
* An Oral History of My So-Called Life.
* The Fate of Reading in a Multimedia Age.
* I think I did this one a few months ago, but at least somebody has a plan: Optimal search path for finding Waldo.
* We asked eighty-six burglars how they broke into homes.
* New research suggests the Earth’s climate could be more sensitive to greenhouse gases than thought, raising the spectre of an ‘apocalyptic side of bad’ temperature rise of more than 7C within a lifetime. With Trump’s election I think any hope of solving this without geoengineering is over, and perhaps all hope period.
* The North Pole is a mere 36 degrees warmer than normal as winter descends. Give it a chance!
* Stephen Hawking says we’ve got about 1,000 years to find a new place to live. So you’re saying we have 999 years before we even need to think about this.
* But it’s not all bad news! Blood from human teens rejuvenates body and brains of old mice.
* And the thrilling conclusion to the thisisfine.jpg trilogy, truly the epic of our times.
Written by gerrycanavan
November 18, 2016 at 9:00 am
Posted in Look at what I found on the Internet
Tagged with 2017, a new life awaits you in the off-world colonies, abortion, academia, academic writing, actually existing media bias, airports, alt history, alt right, America, apocalypse, Arrival, authoritarianism, autocracy, backlash, Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, Bill Clinton, blood, books, brainwashing, burglars, Calexit, California, callouts, capital, Carl Schmitt, Chicago, Chuck Schumer, class struggle, climate change, collapse, corpocracy, Cuba, decadence, democracy, Democrats, disability, Don't mention the war, Donald Trump, DREAM Act, drones, ecology, economists, Electoral College, empathy, empire, extrasolar planets, Facebook, factchecks, failure, fascism, FBI, FiveThirtyEight, futurity, general election 2016, genre, get out the vote, give it a chance, globalization, Gothic novels, grading, Greece, Hamilton, Harry Potter, health, health care, health insurance, Hell, Hillary Clinton, historians, Hitler, hope, I grow old, I want things to be different, ice sheet collapse, ideology, immigration, immortality, incompetence, infrastructure, It Can't Happen Here, Jaimee, James Comey, Jeff Sessions, Jerome Winter, journamalism, kakistocracy, Kate McKinnon, kids, kids today, kindness, kleptocracy, Lena Dunham, Leonard Cohen, liberals, maps, Marx, Marxism, mergers, Merrick Garland, my scholarly empire, My So-Called Life, narrative, Nate Silver, Netflix, obstruction, Octavia Butler, only the super-rich can save us now, parenting, podcasts, politics, polls, prediction, public intellectuals, race, racism, rape, rape culture, reading, real estate, recess, regime change, Richard Rorty, Rome, Ronald Reagan, Rust Belt, sabotage, sanctuary campus, science fiction, Scott Selisker, SEK, Sentinels, smells, space opera, Stephen Hawking, Story of Your Life, Stranger Things, strikes, Supreme Court, Ted Chiang, Thanksgiving, the Arctic, the Constitution, the courts, The Culture, the laws, the man of lawlessness, The New Inquiry, The Plot Against America, The X-President, this is fine, Title IX, totalitarianism, trans* issues, true crime, turnout, Umbero Eco, UPS, vampires, voter suppression, Waldo, war huh good god y'all what is it good for? absolutely nothing say it again, Welcome to Night Vale, white nationalism, white supremacy, Wisconsin, Won't somebody think of the children?, writing, X-Men, xkcd
All the Tuesday Night Links, and It’s Really Tuesday This Time, or Maybe Wednesday, Who Can Say
* I put up a MetaFilter post on the Daniel Tosh rape threat incident that got so much attention today, which is a relatively decent read as Internet comment threads go despite expectedly high rates of rape apologism and mansplaining. Two more good pieces on the subject: zunguzungu’s (…) and Student Activism’s “Goddamn it, Louis.” Here’s Aaron:
The phrase “rape culture” describes the way people don’t get too upset at the thought of a woman being raped. They might even laugh at it. It might seem funny, such a funny word. But nothing about this is just a joke. It’s about devaluing the sanctity of certain people’s security in their person, about refusing to feel bad about it, about taking a pride in it, even. Saying “wouldn’t it be funny if a violent act happened to this person” is almost the definition of how that works. If a terrible thing happened to a person, you say, I would not grieve. I would laugh. Their pain is not worth my empathy, or yours. Their pain makes me stronger, bigger, more important. Their pain is worth nothing.
* The important questions: Could the SHIELD helicarrier actually fly? Could Batman really fly? What would happen if you tried to hit a baseball pitched at 90% the speed of light? The last one (the first post of Randall Monroe’s new What If? blog) is absolutely not to be missed.
* Call it Kotsko’s Law: Any political ideology putting itself forward as a brave new path beyond the stale opposition of left and right is always going to be either boring old liberalism or else a new variant on fascism.
* Teasing Wes Anderson’s next.
* Tomorrow’s headlines today: here’s the next set of challenges to Obamacare, and it’s even more weaselly and ridiculous than the last round.
* digby: I think we may actually be coming to the point of debating whether or not to repeal the Emergency Medical Treatment & Labor Act. And it will fail, of course. At first. The country isn’t there yet. But it will represent one more step in the disintigration of America’s moral fabric (which wasn’t that strong to begin with.) Like torture, it’s in the political ether now, no longer completely taboo. This is how this sort of thing is mainstreamed.
* You can’t believe they didn’t have it already: Obama Offers Health Insurance To Seasonal Firefighters.
* Mitt Romney says he wants Sesame Street to start running advertisements.
* Suppression vs. Turnout, the 2012 War. Relatedly: Ed Kilgore catches us up on Post-2008 Demographic Changes.
* Yelping with Cormac McCarthy.
* U.S. Sees Hottest 12 Months And Hottest Half Year On Record: NOAA Calls Record Heat A One-In-1.6-Million Event. Really astounding coincidence! But you know you can’t predict the weather.
* Confirmed: fracking can pollute.
* It’s the 21st century – why are we working so much? The Politics of Getting a Life. Both via MetaFilter.
* And the worst idea ever put forth by anyone, ever: Let’s Draft Our Kids. Thank you for your submissions. The contest is now closed.
Written by gerrycanavan
July 11, 2012 at 12:47 am
Posted in Look at what I found on the Internet
Tagged with advertising, Avengers, Barack Obama, baseball, Batman, bipartisanship is bunk, centrism, class struggle, climate change, Cormac McCarthy, Daniel Tosh, demographics, ecology, Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act, fascism, film, firefighters, health care, hydrofracking, Kotsko's Law, labor, liberalism, Louie, Louis C.K., Mitt Romney, neoliberalism, politics, pollution, rape, rape culture, relativity, Sesame Street, the abolition of work, the draft, Third Way, turnout, voter suppression, Wes Anderson, Won't somebody think of the children?, work, worst ideas ever put forth by anyone ever, xkcd, Yelp, zunguzungu
Great Lakes Avengers, Assemble!
PPP’s final poll on the Wisconsin recall finds Scott Walker ahead, but also a race that’s tightening. Walker leads Tom Barrett 50-47. That’s down from 50-45 on a PPP poll conducted three weeks ago and it’s also down from a 52-45 lead that Walker posted in a Marquette Law poll released last week.
Barrett is actually winning independent voters by a 48-46 margin. The reason he continues to trail overall is that Republicans are more excited about voting in Tuesday’s election than Democrats are.
Public Policy Polling’s latest polls give Wisconsin Democrats new hope for a heartbreakingly narrow defeat in tomorrow’s recall election against Governor Scott Walker.
Written by gerrycanavan
June 4, 2012 at 10:10 am
Posted in Look at what I found on the Internet
Tagged with elections, Great Lakes Avengers, Milwaukee, polls, recalls, Scott Walker, turnout, Wisconsin
The Blueing of America
The Blueing of America: Pharyngula has your images of the day, the county-by-county election results and the same map rescaled to reflect population. America’s getting bluer, which can also be seen in Kevin Drum’s comparison of pro-Democratic voting records in 2004 and 2008:
# Income $200,000 or more (+34)
# First-time voters (+33)
# No high school (+27)
# Latinos (+27)
# 18-29 year olds (+25)
# Under $15,000 (+21)
# Full-time workers (+19)
# Urban (+19)
# Non-gun owners (+18)
# Non-religious (+16)
# Parents with children under 18 (+16)
These numbers look good for the future, and the youth numbers are especially important for the reasons I discussed yesterday.
The turnout numbers are getting more and more interesting—it turns out this was a record year for Democratic turnout, not turnout overall. A lot of Republicans just stayed home.
Written by gerrycanavan
November 7, 2008 at 6:30 pm
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged with America, Barack Obama, Democrats, demographics, permanent Democratic majority, politics, turnout, voting, young voters
Scene from the Revolution
Voter turnout is the highest since the enfranchisement of women, with the youth vote at the highest level since 1972.
Written by gerrycanavan
November 5, 2008 at 11:43 pm
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged with democracy, get out the vote, hope, kids today, politics, turnout, voting
Beating 1960
“We have a very good chance of beating the 64 percent turnout in the 1960 election,” McDonald said. “We really could be looking at a historic election in modern American history.”
Written by gerrycanavan
October 23, 2008 at 12:31 pm
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged with 1960, Barack Obama, democracy, early voting, general election 2008, hope, politics, turnout