Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

Posts Tagged ‘Troopergate

Weekend Politics Catchup

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Lots of stuff happened this weekend, and I didn’t blog about any of it. Here’s some catch-up.

* Marriage equality has reached Connecticut. Three down, forty-seven to go.

* John McCain is finally trying to calm his crowds down and getting booed for his efforts.

* How big is “big”? However big “big” is, Obama’s still-unannounced fundraising total is it.

* Since polling began, only one candidate has ever closed a gap as the one now facing John McCain: Ronald Reagan. And since we already know Obama is the liberal Ronald Reagan, that leaves McCain pretty much high and dry. The RNC is even thinking of bailing on him to try and protect congressional seats.

* Though not everyone agrees McCain is toast. “My friends, we’ve got them just where we want them.” And the media backs up his unhealthy delusions by reporting ten-point Obama leads as “toss-ups” and 2% McCain leads as “Lean McCain.”

* Palin cleared in Troopergate probe—by herself. The real probe says she acted unlawfully, and so does the New York Times.

* And is this the end of American capitalism?

Written by gerrycanavan

October 13, 2008 at 12:52 pm

Morning Politics

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Morning politics.

* Landslide ascendant? New polls from Quinnipiac show Obama breaking away in Florida (51-43), Ohio (50-42) and Pennsylvania (54-39). Lots of reasons for this; in addition to the economic crisis that Ben Smith highlights, there’s also McCain’s increasingly erratic behavior and the snowballing unpopularity of Sarah Palin. Nate Silver of 538.com was on Countdown last night trumpeting a predicted 330-207 Electoral College blowout—an opinion Dick Morris of all people would call conservative—and OpenLeft has a great chart from the Princeton Election Meta-Analysis showing the distribution of all possible outcomes.

* Which means it’s time for McCain to get nasty. Again.

* Speaking of Palin, I’m reserving judgment on the debate until I actually see it. It’s very hard to say how the expectations game is going to work; traditionally, the candidate perceived as unimpressive benefits from asymmetric expectations and thereby “wins,” and in that sense Palin can’t lose. But I’m not sure there’s ever been a candidate as manifestly unprepared as Sarah Palin—and basically any mistake she makes, even relatively trivial ones, will serve to ratify the Tina-Fey caricature that has achieved critical cultural mass. In that sense she can’t win. So I have no idea what’s going to happen. Her recent interviews with Katie Couric have been no better than the early ones—she famously reads all newspapers but won’t admit or has no idea what pro-life actually means and it’s now been confirmed she couldn’t discuss any court decision beyond Roe v. Wade—and the Republicans are working overtime both to prep her and to pre-spin the debate. They’re now strongly attacking Gwen Ifill all over. If they’re going to cry about it, fine, let’s replace Ifill—is Katie Couric available?

* Explosive breaking news from Troopergate probably won’t help Palin’s popularity.

* What is it about being mayor of New York City that causes people to lust after emergency powers? Now Bloomberg wants an emergency third term.

* And Google endorses marriage equality.

More Politics

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More politics.

* Obama gave a press conference today, too, coming down hard on the Paulson version of the bailout. An anti-bailout consensus seems to have gelled among both elites (more, more) and the general population, with even GOP foot soldiers refusing to fall in line. (Maybe platforms do mean something after all.) Which is not to say the bailout won’t happen—I think it will, if only because the Democrats never met an issue they couldn’t sell out on. But it won’t be the Paulson version of the bailout, at least and it won’t happen at all unless John McCain agrees to sign on and not use Obama’s willingness to put country first against him.

* More bailout: Kevin Drum has the single best chart I’ve seen, while Pandagon points out what I’d suspected all along: poor people and minorities did this to us.

* Schumer, like a lot of people, wants to know what’s the rush.

* Kossacks want to know how long this has been in the works.

* Colorado wants to vote for Obama by a huge margin, with strong evidence that the Palin pick backfired there.

* McCain’s being forced to defend Indiana.

* Alex Greenberg has your conspiracy theory fodder for the day.

Army Unit to Deploy in October for Domestic Operations

Beginning in October, the Army plans to station an active unit inside the United States for the first time to serve as an on-call federal response in times of emergency. The 3rd Infantry Division’s 1st Brigade Combat Team has spent thirty-five of the last sixty months in Iraq, but now the unit is training for domestic operations. The unit will soon be under the day-to-day control of US Army North, the Army service component of Northern Command. The Army Times reports this new mission marks the first time an active unit has been given a dedicated assignment to Northern Command. The paper says the Army unit may be called upon to help with civil unrest and crowd control. The soldiers are learning to use so-called nonlethal weapons designed to subdue unruly or dangerous individuals and crowds.

* The latest smoking gun on Troopergate is actually fairly damning.

Here’s why this is all so damaging to the governor. It’s one thing to try to get a trooper fired because you believe he is a danger to the public. But using your considerable power as governor to block the benefits of a former family member you have a long-running dispute with moves this scandal into a new realm.

* And my former candidate for president Howard Dean gave a press conference today, too.

Morning Newsbits

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Morning newsbits.

* The most recent McCain “ad”—I doubt it’s actually airing anywhere but on cable news—is truly stunningly dishonest. It could not, in fact, be more dishonest: it concerns a bill Obama neither wrote nor sponsored, that never passed, that didn’t do what the ad claims. It’s just amazing. John Neffinger is right: Obama should hit back on this, hard, fast, and viscerally. Don’t explain, attack.

* Is McCain finally hitting the wall on working the refs? Signs of life from the press.

* This Kos diary runs through the different swing-state permutations to figure out what Obama and McCain each need to win.

* Everyone is talking about this “emotional child abuse” line from the judge in Palin’s sister’s divorce, but the fact is Troopergate is a massively losing issue for the left. Taser a kid, you don’t get to be a cop anymore. You can’t put lipstick on that pig.

There are better things for us to talk about—ideally things that don’t involve Sarah Palin whatsoever.

* And Ron Paul will make a speech today in Washington, D.C., urging his followers to support third-party candidates. I wholeheartedly endorse that message: Ron Paul supporters should absolutely vote for third-party candidates, starting with Paul himself in Montana.

Written by gerrycanavan

September 10, 2008 at 11:38 am