Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

Posts Tagged ‘superdelegates

Tuesday Links! Too Many of Them! Send Help!

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* Don’t forget! Just two weeks until the “Global Weirding” deadline!

* And tomorrow night in Missouri! Marquette Professor to Present ‘After Humanity: Science Fiction After Extinction.’

* CFP: Radical Future and Accelerationism.

* Evergreen headlines: The Shrinking Ph.D. Job Market.

* Last year’s Pioneer Award winner: “Improbability Drives: The Energy of SF.”

The Anthropological Unconscious, or How Not to Talk About African Fiction.

* AfroSF Now: A Snapshot, Seven Novels and a Film.

* Africa Has Always Been Sci-Fi.

Cost Control Is a Progressive Value.

Grade Inflation, Forever and Ever Amen.

* Dueling letters: President Lovell. Professor McAdams.

Cheating Incidents Blemish NCAA’s Marquee Event.

Honors Colleges Promise Prestige, But They Don’t All Deliver.

* The Humanities in the Anthropocene.

Extinction: A Radical History.

Art in the Age of Economic Inequality.

* Manifesto of a Future University.

30 Cities Where America’s Poor Are Concentrated. You know where this is going.

It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention. And a bit on the nose, don’t you think? Jeffrey Dahmer’s House Is Up for Rent During the Republican National Convention.

* More politics watch! The Democrats Are Flawlessly Executing a 10-Point Plan to Lose the 2016 Presidential Election. Sanders +2.6! Trump -4.1! Go vote Wisconsin!

It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates.

My analysis of the latest federal data shows that, on average, these families’ income — including tax credits and all sources of welfare — is about $9,000 below the poverty line. That means ensuring no children grow up in poor households would cost $57 billion a year. (To put that in perspective, that’s how much money we’d get if Apple brought back the $200 billion it has stashed overseas, and paid just 29 percent tax on it – it’s a big problem, but it’s small compared to the wealth of our society.)

Students begin sit-in at Allen Building, demand resignation of Executive Vice President Tallman Trask.

Unionizing Pays Big Dividend for Professors at Regional Public Universities. What Tenured and Tenure-Track Professors at 4-Year Colleges Made in 2015-16.

The villain gap: Why Soviet movies rarely had American bad guys. Risk time in the gulag by reading about Soviet-era underground media. Cold War board games explore the conflict’s history, spycraft, and humor. Soviet sci-fi: The future that never came.

This Genius Twitter Feed Is Turning Classic Kids’ Books Into Nightmares.

Superman And The Damage Done: A requiem for an American icon. An oral history of Superman. A Brief History of Dick: Unpacking the gay subtext of Robin, the Boy Wonder. Death to All Superheroes. Yes, chum, there’s more links below the picture.


* The Antonin Scalia School of Law, or…

Retirees Are Handing Wall Street Billions For No Good Reason.

* All politics is local: I grew up being compared to my overachieving cousin. Now he’s a Supreme Court nominee.

* Laughter doesn’t scale.

Imagine living in a cell that’s smaller than a parking space — with a homicidal roommate.

Up to half of people killed by US police are disabled.

“Three generations of imbeciles are enough.”

The Panama Papers: how the world’s rich and famous hide their money offshore.

Study Confirms World’s Coastal Cities Unsavable If We Don’t Slash Carbon Pollution. But I say that’s not thinking big enough! 12 Ways Humanity Could Destroy The Entire Solar System.

This Is How We Could Hide Our Planet From Bloodthirsty Aliens.

* Dibs on the screenplay: Japan’s Lost Black Hole Satellite Just Reappeared and Nobody Knows What Happened to It. 

Researchers Just Discovered a New State of Matter.

* Hot take watch: Aaron Burr, Not So Bad? I wish I knew the Hamilton soundtrack well enough to make a proper joke here.

Statistical Analysis Has Revealed Game of Thrones‘ True ‘Main’ Character.


* Data suggests a mere 94% of Tor data is malicious.

It is now 100 years since the war on drugs began in the United States and was then gradually imposed on the rest of the world.

* Indigenous video games you should download.

* Scientists bemoan SeaWorld decision to stop breeding orcas.

Researchers who have recently ventured into this region say the once-vibrant ecosystem is now a ghastly tableau, filled with pale-white corals that are at risk of dying off.

* Dark, gritty ad absurdum: The Tick in 2016.

* Durham and gentrification.

* Trumpism in everything, Wal-Mart edition.

NFL Sends Threatening Letter To New York Times, Demands Retraction Of Concussion Investigation.

The Ultimate List of Weapons Astronauts Have Carried Into Orbit.

Climate Model Predicts West Antarctic Ice Sheet Could Melt Rapidly. The end of Florida. These Maps Show What Washington Will Look Like When Antarctica Melts.

* Ambiguous utopias: In Pod-Based Community Living, Rent Is Cheap, But Sex Is Banned.

* Can an outsider become Amish?

* The strange case of Jennifer Null.

Whatever happened to utopian architecture?

* Miracles and wonders: Treating Huntington’s With Gene Knockout Might Be Safe For Adults.

* Terry Gilliam tempts fate, again.

* The best Star Wars character you’ve never heard of.

* And the arc of history is long, but the MLA has changed its style guide again.


Written by gerrycanavan

April 5, 2016 at 8:00 am

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Monday Links! Quite a Few!

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* I had a review of Cixin Liu’s The Dark Forest in The Los Angeles Review of Books last week. Can’t wait for Death’s End.

* “Star Trek style teleportation would take billions of years.” Not if you reverse the polarity of the inertial dampeners, you nitwits!

* The same website has a piece hyping cryonics, so you know it’s legit.

* Meanwhile: AI ‘could leave half of world unemployed.’

Trek at 50: The quest for a unifying theory of time travel in Star Trek.

* The Discovery of Gravitational Waves. Gravitational Waves and Neoliberalism.

* The Mount St. Mary’s situation is even more astounding than you’d think when you refocus attention back on the “culling” survey itself. A Violation of Trust. From embarrassing to appalling to surreal. Twenty-first-century legal paradoxes: You can’t re-hire me, I wasn’t legally fired.

Cleveland Files Claim Against Tamir Rice’s Family For Unpaid EMS Bill.

Fathers and Childless Women in Academia Are 3x More Likely to Get Tenure Than Women With Kids.

* The Crisis Facing America’s Working Daughters.

For gifted children, being intelligent can have dark implications.

* Antonin Scalia, in memoriam.

* The end of SCOTUS. Laying out the recent vote totals like that really does give credence, alas, to the idea that Democrats started it and now Republicans are going to finish it.

* Term Limit the Supreme Court. Don’t Term Limit the Supreme Court. No, I Mean It, Term Limit the Supreme Court.

* The end of Louisiana. Worth it for, what, fourteenth place in the GOP primary?

* The end of Berkeley.

* A Rallying Cry for A Second-Chance School: The Fight to Save Chicago State.

Antitrust Case Against Duke and UNC May Move Forward.

Schools Are Doing a Terrible Job Teaching Your Kids About Global Warming.

* Climate and Empire. (Sounds like a book Asimov would write today if he were still alive.)

* On Killing Dogs.

How this company tracked 16,000 Iowa caucus-goers via their phones.

* “Killing a million people was just the sort of thing a superpower had to do.”

* Bernie Sanders and Palestine. The Washington Post found a political scientists who thinks he wouldn’t get blown out. Could Superdelegates Really Stop Bernie Sanders? Clinton now managing exceptions in Nevada, and has shockingly few staffers in South Carolina. And it’s fine. It’s fine. 

* Clinton Foundation Donors Got Weapons Deals From Hillary Clinton’s State Department. To be fair, though, those don’t seem super hard to get.

* The skills gap: still a fraud to lower labor costs.

* The Internet ruins everything, even Jeopardy!.

* From the nice-work-if-you-can-get-it files: Concordia executive gets $235,000 in severance after 90 days on the job. No public bidding on major University of Nebraska contracts. Michigan Coach’s jet travel valued at more than $10,000 a day.

* Tales from the Mos Eisley Cantina: They found BoShek. Hyperspace Maps, Graphs, and Trees.

* Are you an academic superhero?

* Adjuncts and/as freelancers.

Why So Few American Indians Earn Ph.D.’s, and What Colleges Can Do About It.

When Is Campus Hate Speech No Longer Protected Speech?

The Coen Brothers and the defeat of the American left. I knew it was them.

Marvel’s The Vision Is Telling a Story Unlike Any Superhero Comic I’ve Ever Read.

* Day late, buck short: Suffragette valentines.

The EPA calls it the most severe exposure to a hazardous material in American history. The only people in Libby, Montana, who didn’t see it coming were the victims, who are dying to know if it’s really possible to poison an entire town and get away with it.

“I’m too old to do things I don’t enjoy”: An interview with Margaret Atwood.

* And SMBC catches on to my philosophical method.


Written by gerrycanavan

February 15, 2016 at 12:06 pm

Posted in Look at what I found on the Internet

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No More 2008s

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Written by gerrycanavan

December 31, 2009 at 5:23 pm

Clinton, Assassination, and More

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Olbermann had a “Special Comment” tonight on Clinton’s assassination gaffe:

For what it’s worth I think Olbermann’s outrage is pretty well-founded. I’m obviously no fan of the Clintons, but it’s bad enough to continue her quixotic campaign secretly hoping that something horrible happens to Obama so she gets to be the nominee after all—far worse to actually say it and remove all doubt. This was a Freudian slip, not an incitement to violence, and it certainly wasn’t anything she ever intended to say—but it unnecessarily invokes the grim specter of assassination that many Obama supporters have felt haunted by since Iowa. As she is the person who currently stands to most directly gain from such a disaster, her bringing it up seems, at best, unseemly. At best.

This may blow over, or she may have to soon end her campaign over this. We’ll have to wait and see what the media does with it over the weekend. Her non-apology apology certainly didn’t help.

In other primary news, The Field reports a surge of California superdelegates shifting to Obama—note this happened before the gaffe—as well as the tantalizing possibility that I may soon be forced to take back all the nasty things I’ve said about John Edwards.

And kos has the polling that suggests John McCain’s viability as a candidate against Obama may have been significantly overrated.

Written by gerrycanavan

May 24, 2008 at 3:10 am

The Flood

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George McGovern has switched to Obama and is urging Clinton to leave the race. Wesley Clark reportedly called Clinton last night to do the same. I’ve seen reports in comment threads (no link yet) that Obama’s announced a conference call with multiple governors and Congresspersons. Here comes the flood.

Written by gerrycanavan

May 7, 2008 at 3:09 pm

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Morning After

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It looks like Obama wasn’t quite able to catch her in Indiana, but in politics there’s “close” and then there’s “close enough.” Clinton’s been counted out before, prematurely, but maybe this time there really is no coming back for her.

UPDATE: Clinton has added a public event back to her schedule today, presumably to combat the perception that she’s beat—but Wolfson also admits this morning that she loaned another $6.4 million to her campaign last month, a much more telling indicator. Meanwhile, Stephanopoulos reports on Good Morning America that the long-awaited superdelegate flood will come today

Written by gerrycanavan

May 7, 2008 at 12:24 pm

Politics Links

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A few politics links:

* Bill Clinton’s got a crazy new argument.

“Right now, among all the primary states, believe it or not, Hillary’s only 16 votes behind in pledged delegates,” said Bill, “and she’s gonna wind up with the lead in the popular vote in the primary states. She’s gonna wind up with the lead in the delegates.”

And if only you count states with four letters that voted in March she’s winning by a ton

* Leahy says the primary’s over.

“There is no way that Senator Clinton is going to win enough delegates to get the nomination. She ought to withdraw and she ought to be backing Senator Obama. Now, obviously that’s a decision that only she can make frankly I feel that she would have a tremendous career in the Senate.”

Reality check, check. Vague moral threat, check. Quiet promise of a bribe, check. Too bad Clinton won’t listen.

* Bob Casey jumps off the fence and endorses Barack. Richardson, Leahy, Casey, Pelosi: are the supers finally moving?

* Ezra has your definition of the day.

“National Greatness” is what results when unacknowledged feelings of sexual inadequacy manifest themselves as a theory of foreign policy.

Written by gerrycanavan

March 28, 2008 at 3:07 pm

Richardson Endorses

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Richardson (finally) endorses. I’m not sure whether he’s going solo or if this is a sign that the supers have finally realized how destructive the unnecessary continuation of this primary is—but either way it’s welcome news on top of the State department scandal and the release of Clinton’s White House schedule, both of which begin to shift the narrative away from the painful Wright stuff.

If Wright had happened when Obama was “the presumptive nominee”—which is to say that everything were exactly as it is now except Clinton had admitted she’d been beat—it would have been half as damaging. Wright took hold so deeply in part because half of a divided Democratic party welcomed the news as a means to overturn the will of the voters and get Clinton installed as the nominee—if those people had instead been willing to speak with one voice to denounce the story and its terms, the cancer could have been removed with a lot less bloodletting. As it is, the Democrats are imploding, and the prospect of a united party in the fall is drifting further and further out of reach; the superdelegates can’t dare let this thing go on till June, and yet they give every indication that they will.

Partial text of the endorsement:

I have made a decision to endorse Barack Obama for President….

My affection and admiration for Hillary Clinton and President Bill Clinton will never waver. It is time, however, for Democrats to stop fighting amongst ourselves and to prepare for the tough fight we will face against John McCain in the fall.

Gore, Edwards, Pelosi, the ball is in your court.

Written by gerrycanavan

March 21, 2008 at 1:14 pm

Dem Primary Update

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The competing moral claims for the Democratic nomination realigned a bit this weekend as we got our first evidence of Obama’s coattails: the surprise victory of Bill Foster in a special election for Dennis Hastert’s congressional seat. Obama cut an ad for Foster and gave him access to his Illinois organization, and so Foster’s victory is a victory for Obama too, providing good evidence for the superdelegates that Obama can do exactly what he says he can do in terms of making the Democrats a 50-state party again.

It’s also a nice little irony that the girl in the much-ballyhooed “3 a.m.” ad turns out to be 17 now and an Obama precinct captain.

The Wyoming caucus was this weekend, too, and as expected Obama won it by over twenty points—but the major contest continues to be Pennsylvania. If Obama can win there, Clinton drops out. If Obama loses there, even if it’s really really close, Clinton probably stays in until the convention, and things start to get really interesting awful.

As I’ve said, I have every confidence that Obama will be the nominee either way: Clinton can’t catch up in pledged delegates, and the superdelegates won’t overturn the will of the voters no matter what sort of spin war the Clintons wage in the press.

But it would be so much easier if he just wins Pennsylvania. I’m calling on my vast Pennsylvania fanbase* to make that happen.

* I call it a “fanbase” now so you can’t tell it’s just one person. But seriously, Neil, knock on some doors.

Written by gerrycanavan

March 9, 2008 at 5:45 pm

Does Mini-Super Tuesday Already Not Matter?

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Tom Brokaw is reporting that a bloc of 50 superdelegates is ready to announce for Obama, probably being saved to blunt Clinton’s victory dance tomorrow. (Video.) If that’s really the case, my Prediction 3a yesterday may have been too pessimistic; as a drop-out-now chorus, that’s pretty deafening.

Written by gerrycanavan

March 4, 2008 at 3:48 pm

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Setting Fire to the Future of the Democratic Party

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2:50pm UPDATE: I wrote the draft of this post this morning—now I see that the Clinton camp is officially denying Simon’s report. I wanted to put the denial up top so everyone sees it.

Also at Ambinder, I also see, unrelatedly, that Clinton failed to submit a full delegate slate in Pennsylvania—which I find utterly shocking.

Not long ago one of my commenters used the phrase “setting fire to the future of the Democratic party” to describe the scorched earth strategy of the Clinton campaign. It was an apt description then, but if there’s anything to this report from the Politco, it’s worse than my worst imagination of what was possible.

Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign intends to go after delegates whom Barack Obama has already won in the caucuses and primaries if she needs them to win the nomination.

This strategy was confirmed to me by a high-ranking Clinton official on Monday. And I am not talking about superdelegates, those 795 party big shots who are not pledged to anybody. I am talking about getting pledged delegates to switch sides.

Our only hope is that a knockout blow somewhere in the Texas/Ohio/Pennsylvania circuit ends this insanity and lets the Clintons slink off with some small amount of their dignity intact. But a Longtime Associate writes in echoing my own fears about Wisconsin and how things could go wrong tonight:

once again, obama has been unable to contain expectations. this is a very competitive primary, looking at demographics and polls, and clinton’s last-minute attacks may again give her the win, as they did in new hampshire. the cult of obama / style over substance attacks are taking root, to some extent. the last gallup tracking poll shows a lot of movement to clinton. the painfulness of a possible wisconsin loss will be doubled due to the failure to manage expectations.

Fingers crossed tonight, Obamaniacs.

How Hillary Thinks She Wins

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“You need a process that both sides can buy into. You cannot let these internecine battles create a war.” That was Chuck Schumer on Meet the Press a few minutes ago, speaking without specificity about how the superdelegate and FL/MI situation should shake out.

Let’s parse this out.

“You need a process that both sides can buy into.” Assuming both sides want to win, and that both sides consider themselves to be within striking range of victory, what kind of process could both sides “buy into” when clearly any process would result in one or the other losing?

I think Clinton’s camp is going to argue going into the convention that the only possible mutual buy-in result is a joint ticket, and then assert she should obviously be the head of that ticket and/or quietly refuse to be VP. I think this is how she thinks she can still be the nominee.

UPDATE: I decided to post this as a diary on Daily Kos, with a poll: “Is a joint ticket the only solution to this mess?” After about twenty minutes, “no” was far and away the winner, with “There should not be a joint ticket under any circumstances” edging out “No, there are other possible solutions” by about ten points.

Written by gerrycanavan

February 17, 2008 at 3:12 pm

Reading the Primary Tea Leaves, Rep. John Lewis Edition

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I was prepared to accept The Stump’s argument that Rep. John Lewis’s switch from Clinton to Obama isn’t actually that noteworthy, until I saw Josh Marshall’s equally persuasive argument that it is, in fact, incredibly notewothy. Now I don’t know what to think. I guess we’ll see how things get spun tomorrow.

Written by gerrycanavan

February 15, 2008 at 9:02 am


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With Obama now up by 136 in the pledged delegate count after a 50-delegate win last night, his camp is putting out word that they are close to locking down the nomination and that it will be “next to impossible” for Clinton to win a majority of delegates.

He also said that the only way she can prevent them from winning the nomination is by winning remaining contests in “blowout form.” He said Hillary needs to win Ohio and Texas “by well over 20 points” to remain in contention, adding that “we see no evidence that that’s going to happen.”

This is, of course, the necessary counterspin to the current emphasis on OH, TX, and PA—I think it’s likely that he can win at least one of these states, but they need to start laying the groundwork for an argument that he should be the nominee even if he falls just short in all three.

Written by gerrycanavan

February 13, 2008 at 4:36 pm

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Chesapeake Regional

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Some links about the primary, everyone’s favorite discussion topic. (TV will be back soon; this is all almost over.)

* I know more than a few people in DC, Maryland, and Virginia, and I hope these people get out and vote for Obama their conscience for Obama today. The last ARG poll—as I’ve said, not the friendliest poll outfit for Obama—has numbers that look pretty fantastic, not that they mean anything until the real polls close tonight. ARG has Barack in the lead by twenty points in both states, including in key demographics like “men” and “women.” There’s room to be cautiously optimistic here.

* The front page of the New York Times today paints the picture of a Clinton campaign in crisis:

“She has to win both Ohio and Texas comfortably, or she’s out,” said one superdelegate who has endorsed Mrs. Clinton, and who spoke on condition of anonymity to share a candid assessment. “The campaign is starting to come to terms with that.” Campaign advisers, also speaking privately in order to speak plainly, confirmed this view.

Several Clinton superdelegates, whose votes could help decide the nomination, said Monday that they were wavering in the face of Mr. Obama’s momentum after victories in Washington State, Nebraska, Louisiana and Maine last weekend.

Some said that they, like the hundreds of uncommitted superdelegates still at stake, might ultimately “go with the flow,” in the words of one, and support the candidate who appears to show the most strength in the primaries to come.

This of course is what I’ve been saying all along—the superdelegates are politicians, they aren’t going to cut their own throats and the throat of the Democratic party writ large. If Obama is ahead in pledged delegates, he’ll be the nominee.

Hopefully he can get a win in OH, TX, or PA, though—a win in any of those three would seal it.

* Josh Patashnik succinctly explains at the Plank why the Florida delegates must not be seated.

* CNN’s Political Ticker has a post up that backs up my latest theory about what Al Gore is waiting for. Thanks Neil.

The sources say Gore talks with both Clinton and Obama, and is on good terms with both. But with Sen. John Kerry and Bill Clinton both aligned to a candidate, Gore has a role to serve as the neutral elder statesman in the party.

If an agreement needs to be struck between Clinton and Obama down the road, Gore is in position to be the likely facilitator of that discussion.

Written by gerrycanavan

February 12, 2008 at 1:57 pm