Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

Posts Tagged ‘Jeremiah Wright

Still More Links

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Still more links.

* Shepard Smith: Fox News’s email has become “more and more frightening.” I’ve asked before, but why is this man still on Fox?

* Rush Limbaugh picked the wrong day to make a birther joke.

* Jeremiah Wright picked the wrong day to say something incredibly moronic about “them Jews.”

* There is no right day to propose a Full House remake. Stamos! Via Occasional Fish.

* Fear the Emanuel hegemony.

* Fear the myth of perpetual copyright.

* 50 scientifically proven ways to be persuasive. In terms of understanding the human psyche, the academy is still decades behind the advertising industry.

* ‘Supervolcano may be brewing beneath Mount St Helens.’ Yikes. (And get me Bobby Jindal on the phone.) Via MeFi.

* Guantánamo’s Uighurs have been sent to Palau. More from Yglesias, Attackerman, Greenwald, and the Plank.

* Linda Holmes criticizes Pixar for going to the princess well for its first female lead.

* The Sopranos and postmodern irony.

Yet formally self-conscious and deliberately ambiguous though it tended to be, “The Sopranos” was by no means so completely decentered in its “overall moral or thematic attitude” as all that. On the contrary, it seems to me to have been very definitely grounded what might be called (for want of any better phrase) a deeply pessimistic Freudian moral sensibility.

Via Kotsko.

Predictions

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Jeff from Syntax of Things nails the prediction thread for 2008, calling the electoral threshold (Obama with 364 EVs) exactly and missing the popular vote spread by only 2%. His prize: our undying respect. Well done, Jeff!

UPDATE: Neil asks for (and receives) deserved credit for his second-place finish. Well done, Neil. Can NeilThirtyEight.com be far behind?

Written by gerrycanavan

November 6, 2008 at 12:29 am

Campaign Postmortems

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Newsweek has the first of the great campaign postmortems, including new tidbits on the even-worse-than-previously-thought Sarah Palin shopping spree and even an F-bomb from BHO. A few highlights from the highlights:

* Palin launched her attack on Obama’s association with William Ayers, the former Weather Underground bomber, before the campaign had finalized a plan to raise the issue. McCain’s advisers were working on a strategy that they hoped to unveil the following week, but McCain had not signed off on it, and top adviser Mark Salter was resisting.

Palin goin’ rogue goes a long way towards explaining why the McCain camp never seemed to know what it was trying to do with Ayers.

* McCain also was reluctant to use Obama’s incendiary pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, as a campaign issue. The Republican had set firm boundaries: no Jeremiah Wright; no attacking Michelle Obama; no attacking Obama for not serving in the military. McCain balked at an ad using images of children that suggested that Obama might not protect them from terrorism. Schmidt vetoed ads suggesting that Obama was soft on crime (no Willie Hortons). And before word even got to McCain, Schmidt and Salter scuttled a “celebrity” ad of Obama dancing with talk-show host Ellen DeGeneres (the sight of a black man dancing with a lesbian was deemed too provocative).

WTF?

* The debates unnerved both candidates. When he was preparing for them during the Democratic primaries, Obama was recorded saying, “I don’t consider this to be a good format for me, which makes me more cautious. I often find myself trapped by the questions and thinking to myself, ‘You know, this is a stupid question, but let me … answer it.’ So when Brian Williams is asking me about what’s a personal thing that you’ve done [that’s green], and I say, you know, ‘Well, I planted a bunch of trees.’ And he says, ‘I’m talking about personal.’ What I’m thinking in my head is, ‘Well, the truth is, Brian, we can’t solve global warming because I f—ing changed light bulbs in my house. It’s because of something collective’.”

Ladies and gentlemen, the president of the United States.

UPDATE: Part I of the article is now up.

Written by gerrycanavan

November 5, 2008 at 11:17 pm

Six Reasons Obama Will Win

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Six reasons Obama will win at National Journal Online, via electoral-vote.com.

1. No candidate this far back two weeks out has ever won.
2. Early voting is going strong and even if something big happens, those votes are already cast.
3. The Democrats have a 10% advantage in party registration; in 2004 it was even.
4. Obama is outspending McCain 4 to 1 in many states.
5. There is no evidence for the so-called Bradley effect in the past 15 years.
6. Obama is safe in all the Kerry states and ahead in half a dozen states Bush won.

I remember the glorious afternoon and heartbreaking evening of November 2, 2004, well enough to know not to count America’s chickens before they come home to roost.

Written by gerrycanavan

October 22, 2008 at 4:33 pm

Debateday!

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It’s finally debateday.

* McCain has stepped up his criticism of Gwen Ifill after yesterday’s declaration that he has “confidence” in her fairness. Meanwhile an AP report suggests that she may indeed need to step aside:

The host of PBS'”Washington Week” and senior correspondent on “The NewsHour” said she did not tell the Commission on Presidential Debates about the book. The commission had no immediate comment when contacted by The Associated Press. A spokeswoman for John McCain’s campaign did not immediately return phone and e-mail messages.

There should have been an explicit conversation about this between Ifill and the Commission and another between Ifill, the Commission, and the campaigns; if that didn’t happen because Ifill didn’t disclose the book, that looks to me like a pretty serious breach of journalistic ethics.

Of course, it’s the day of the debate, probably too late to replace her, so at this point the alleged conflict reduces to little more than a bid to work the refs and a preemptive excuse for Palin’s failures. Like the McCain of yesterday, I have confidence she’ll be fair, but it’s really too bad that she handed the Republicans such a nice talking point.

* There’s lots of speculation that McCain’s last ace in the hole is Rev. Wright. Chuck Todd says it’s too little, too late, and I tend to agree.

* Kos had a good post last night about McCain’s strategic dilemma, the fact that any attempt to play offense in the battlegrounds could result in surprise (and devastating) losses in places like Indiana and North Carolina. North Carolina in particular is an interesting case—another poll (Rasmussen’s) put Obama up three here last week, and there’s good reason to think NC is a genuine battleground this year. But any time or money McCain sinks into keeping North Carolina is lost for Ohio and Florida, states he also needs to win. The map at right has Obama at 269, already a likely-if-ugly win for Obama. A loss in any of what’s left will cost McCain the election—he needs the whole slate of swing states just to tie, and right now he’s behind in most.

* More swing-state talk from Chuck Todd.

* The headline reads: “Obama Makes McCain Very Uncomfortable.”

Let the record reflect that Barack Obama made the approach to John McCain tonight.

As the two shared the Senate floor tonight for the first time since they won their party nominations, Obama stood chatting with Democrats on his side of the aisle, and McCain stood on the Republican side of the aisle.

So Obama crossed over into enemy territory.

He walked over to where McCain was chatting with Republican Sen. Mel Martinez of Florida and Independent Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut. And he stretched out his arm and offered his hand to McCain.

McCain shook it, but with a “go away” look that no one could miss. He tried his best not to even look at Obama.

Finally, with a tight smile, McCain managed a greeting: “Good to see you.”

Obama got the message. He shook hands with Martinez and Lieberman — both of whom greeted him more warmly — and quickly beat a retreat back to the Democratic side.

Ambinder explains why these sorts of stories (here’s another from the Washington Post) make Republican strategists very nervous.

* And Jack Cafferty wants to know how anyone, including McCain, can take Sarah Palin seriously. Steve Benen has a good post up at Washington Monthly about the now-infamous Supreme Court question last night, about how (among other things) it eviscerates the justification for the pro-life position through its concession of a right to privacy. She may muddle through tonight’s debate, she may not, but if she survives as a credible national figure after this cycle she certainly doesn’t deserve to.

My Country, Right and Wrong

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I linked last week to a discussion on the Bill Maher show about the Rev. Wright controversy that centered in part around Martin Luther King’s opposition to the war in Vietnam. Now, via Cynical-C, here’s the audio of that speech…

Written by gerrycanavan

April 8, 2008 at 3:12 pm

Intelligent Discussion Is Occasionally Still Possible

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You don’t see it often, but intelligent discussion is occasionally still possible in this country. There’s even people managing to discuss the Rev. Wright kerfluffe intelligently, believe it or not—check out this clip from last night’s Bill Maher.

Written by gerrycanavan

March 29, 2008 at 4:31 pm