Thursday Night

* Laurent Dubois: “It’s not exactly that FIFA has been thoroughly decolonized — most of us will probably die before we get to go to another African World Cup — but it’s clear that new centers of power and influence are emerging.” Of course, not everyone loves Qatar. Grant Wahl: “Choosing Qatar and Russia is the biggest indictment possible that FIFA is not a clean organization. The message here is that petrodollars talk.” Nate Silver: “What differentiates Qatar, however, is that its case to win the World Cup by legitimate means — for all the reasons I have outlined above — would seem to be relatively weak. Several months ago, oddsmakers had put its chances at about 6-1 against, versus 5-2 against for the United States — and that was before FIFA designated it as high-risk. From the point of view of Bayesian statistics, that makes the probability of bribery greater.” Paul Campos: “I’ve got $20 that says the 2022 World Cup won’t be held in Qatar.”

* Talking Points Memo on the futile quest to remind people how marginal tax rates work.

* Age 2 to age 12 in 90 seconds.

* And some dancing guidelines for proms at DW Daniel High School.