Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

NY-26

with 3 comments

Written by gerrycanavan

May 24, 2011 at 10:32 pm

3 Responses

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  1. It really could be a House bloodbath. John Boehner’s two-year majority. And Obama could get 55%+. But I’m still having nightmares about Majority Leader Mitch McConnell thanks to the good people of North Dakota.

    Dan

    May 25, 2011 at 12:17 am

    • I think Obama could probably sleepwalk to reelection given the competition, and Dem chances are very good in the House post-Paul-Ryan, as you say. But our moronic, antiquated institutions mean that if the Dems lose the Senate they can’t govern anyway. I certainly hope they hold it.

      gerrycanavan

      May 25, 2011 at 12:28 am

  2. Ha, if there’s any consolation it’s that McConnell is effectively majority leader anyway if the Dems have less than 60 seats. (Although maybe a new House majority and a second Obama term might wake them up to procedural reform. Not going to bet on it.) It’s absurd to handicap individual Senate races so many months out and without knowing who’s running. I can’t see Obama coattails even in a landslide meaning a whole lot, although that’d vary, of course. But it’s not inconceivable that Republicans could pick up any of ND, NM, VA, WI, FL, MO, MT, NE, OH, WV. Obviously those range from “Yep, we’re doomed” (ND) to “Almost certainly not” (WI) but they only need four. (On the other hand, pickup opportunities as wide-ranging as AZ, TX, IN, ME, MA, NV, depending on our tea party friends.)

    Dan

    May 25, 2011 at 1:18 am


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