Gerry Canavan

the smartest kid on earth

Addendum for Bald People Trying to Keep Hope Alive

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Jaimee points me to Al Giordano of The Field’s analysis of the Survey USA California poll, which he says uses an improperly tight likely voter screen that simply doesn’t reflect the massive turnout we’ve been seeing. Properly weighing the results of the poll, he says, it looks a hell of a lot closer:

Clinton 43.2
Obama 42.4

And again, that’s before the bump from either South Carolina or Kennedy has registered.

Take it all with a grain of salt, but keep hope alive. He’s also got more grist for the startling-New-York-upset mill, with a look at the tabloid treatment of the Kennedy endorsement and the Clinton campaign’s subsequent Spanish-language ad blitz there. He’s also hinting rather strongly that the Obama campaign has an ace up its sleeve for tonight…

GRASPING-AT-STRAWS UPDATE: And why is the Clinton camp canceling scheduled conference calls and TV appearances?

ALSO: Josh Marshall cryptically writes that there is “already chatter” that the seating of the Michigan and Florida delegates may go to court. I’ve written before, as recently as half an hour ago, that this situation is a disaster waiting to happen. The only good thing about it going to court is that we’ll have an answer well before the convention—that, and the fact that the Clintons will get a lot of “Sore Loserman” press over suing the DNC while Obama, if he’s smart, will float nicely above the fray.

Written by gerrycanavan

January 29, 2008 at 9:08 pm

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